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February 27, 2009

State home sales double as prices fall

By Gregory J. Wilcox, Staff Writer
Updated: 02/26/2009 10:42:15 PM PST
Home sales more than doubled in California during January while the price slide continued, with the median tumbling to its lowest level in nearly eight years, the California Association of Realtors said Thursday.
But in an encouraging sign, the flood of foreclosures is attracting bargain hunters, and sales would total 624,940 houses in 2009 if activity continued at January's pace.
It's the first time since October 2005 that the annualized rate tops 600,000 sales.
"The strength in California home sales in recent months signifies that the market is gradually working its way through the large numbers of distressed sales that have followed in the wake of the troubled mortgage problem," said association President James Liptak.
Robert Kleinhenz, the association's deputy chief economist, said it's a good sign that January's sales rate reflected numbers typically seen during the spring and summer selling season.
That's because areas hardest hit by foreclosures accounted about 40 percent of January's sales, he said.
"We're not out of the woods yet but we can say with a certain amount of confidence that the market is doing a good job of pushing these properties through the pipeline," he said.
January's median price was $254,350, its lowest level in nearly eight years ago and $172,850 lower than the year-ago median of $427,200. The median price fell 9.5 percent from December's $281,180.
In Los Angeles County,  The median price fell 35 percent from a year ago to $305,310 and sales rose 85 percent. In Ventura County the median tumbled 38 percent to $364,530 and sales jumped 80 percent.
greg.wilcox@dailynews.com 818-713-3743

February 23, 2009

Most families can now afford house

By Gregory J. Wilcox, Staff Writer

 

Updated: 02/18/2009 07:53:43 PM PST

 


Real-estate prices have fallen so low that nearly 60 percent of California households could afford to buy an entry-level home, a trade association said Wednesday.

 

The California Association of Realtors reported that affordability soared to 59 percent in the fourth quarter of 2008, compared with just 33 percent a year earlier.

 

"I think it's the best news because it means the markets are working and the first-time buyers and investors are responding," said Leslie Appleton-Young, the association's vice president and chief economist.

 

The association considers its affordability index the most fundamental measure of housing well-being for first-time buyers in the state.

 

Last year's fourth-quarter affordability is the highest since the index was created in 2003. And demonstrating the volatility of the state's housing market, the index hit its record low of 23 percent in the second quarter of 2006.

 

Under the association's formula, an affordable price for first-time buyers is 85percent of the median price statewide and in selected markets.

 

California's housing market has been roiled by a huge number of foreclosures. The bargain-price property is driving huge sales gains in some parts of the state.

 

"That property is perceived to be a good deal and long-term investment," Appleton-Yound said. "That stuff is selling."

 

The latest report also showed:

 

The median entry-level price fell 40 percent, from $411,170

 

In the fourth quarter of 2007 to $248,030 in the comparable period last year.

 

The minimum household income needed for an entry-level home was $48,900, based on an adjustable rate mortgage of 6.02 percent and a 10 percent down payment. The median income for California households in the fourth quarter was $59,160.

 

The monthly payment, including taxes and insurance, was $1,630.

 

In Los Angeles County, the affordability index soared to 46 percent, matching the same level as the first index. The entry-level price was $301,110 and the qualifying income $59,100. The monthly payment would be $1,970.

 

With an index of 76 percent, the High Desert region, which includes the Antelope Valley, was the most affordable area in the state. The entry-level price was $125,080; the qualifying income, $24,600; and the monthly payment, $820.

 

The association's report came as President Barack Obama announced details of his administration's Homeowner Affordability and Stability Plan.

 

"Anything the government will do will certainly help," Appleton-Young said of that plan. "No doubt the government is using all the firepower they've got, but there is no quick fix to this."

 

But the Mortgage Bankers Association said that some components of the rescue plan won't be much help in some populous areas.

 

The association is concerned that the plan offers little help to borrowers whose loan exceeds their property value by more than 5 percent.

 

Nor does it offer assistance to borrowers with jumbo mortgages or those whose mortgages are in private- label securities, which are sold by a company other than a government-sponsored enterprise.

 

"This will limit the plan's success in some of the hardest-hit areas in California," John Courson, president and chief executive officer of the Washington-based trade group, said in a written statement.

February 13, 2009

Awaiting Treasury, Banks Stall Foreclosures

As precious few details emerge from the Treasury department on the $50 billion housing rescue plan, the big banks are temporarily halting foreclosures.

J.P. Morgan Chase announced today that through March 6, "we will not add to the foreclosure process any new owner-occupied residential loans that are owned and serviced by JP Morgan Chase."

Citigroup CEO Vikram Pandit committed to do the same on Wednesday, before the House Financial Services Committee, and issued this release today, extending its moratorium through March 12.

"Today’s announcement expands on Citi’s current foreclosure moratorium in which Citi does not initiate or complete a foreclosure sale on any eligible borrower where Citi owns the mortgage, the borrower is seeking to stay in the home, which is his or her primary residence, is working in good faith with Citi and has sufficient income for affordable mortgage payments."

I would note, JP Morgan says it will halt on loans owned AND serviced by them, but Citi's is only on Citi-owned loans. As we say over and over, one of the biggest impediments to foreclosure mitigation is the fact that so many loans are owned by outside investors.

As for any new details on the Geithner plan, supposedly nobody except a precious few at the Treasury can expand on yesterday’s little leak that it would involve some kind of standardized modification process that the government would subsidize.

But on top of all that buzz, came an announcement today from the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) and the Office of Thrift Supervision (OTS). You may remember these are the folks who issued that report in December on the redefault rate of loan modifications (upwards of

50-60 percent!) that set everyone buzzing. Well, because of all that buzz, they are now expanding their data.

I gave a call over to John Dugan, Director of the OCC: "I’m hopeful that the numbers we collected already and the numbers we collect in the future will help this going forward," said Dugan.

The next report, in March, will break down into categories the loan modifications that,

Increased borrowers’ monthly principal and interest payments

Brought no change to payments

Reduced payments by 10 percent or less

Reduced payments by 10 percent or more

"We’ll then take those new categories and for each one figure out what was the redefault rate in each of those categories," Dugan explained. This of course would be wildly helpful to anyone crafting a massive mortgage modification plan, but unfortunately Mr. Geithner won’t get those stats until well after he’s announced the plan. Dugan, however, assured, "I know for a fact they’re taking that [redefaults] into serious consideration."

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